San Francisco win at least 75 games this season
75+ wins is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 16¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 7 inside Will San Francisco win at least.
Price history
5¢ current
−17¢Contract brief
If San Francisco has 75+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
75+ wins
Rank
#3 of 7
Leader
65+ wins 92¢
Range
1¢-92¢
Family volume
$540
Identifier
KXMLBWINS-SF-26-T75
Aug 8, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
26¢
Spread
16¢
24h volume
$526
Family rank
#3 of 7
7 outcomes · Will San Francisco win at least
Closes
Nov 8, 2026
Family volume
$540
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 26¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If San Francisco has 75+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 8, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBWINS-SF-26-T75
Event family
Will San Francisco win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$540
Outcomes
7
Highest price
65+ wins 92¢
Current share
97%
65+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SF-26-T65
70+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SF-26-T70
75+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SF-26-T75
95+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SF-26-T95
80+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SF-26-T80
85+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SF-26-T85
90+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SF-26-T90
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.