SimpleFunctions

Saquon Barkley · KXLEADERNFLRUSHYDS-27

Saquon Barkley is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXLEADERNFLRUSHYDS-27.

Price history

10¢ current

+9¢
0¢10¢
Jun 12, 2026Jul 10, 2026

Contract brief

If Saquon Barkley leads Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Saquon Barkley

Rank

#2 of 16

Leader

Derrick Henry 12¢

Range

1¢-12¢

Family volume

$754

Identifier

KXLEADERNFLRUSHYDS-27-SBARKLEY26

Jul 11, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 25m ago

Implied probability

10¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 11, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 25m ago

Bid

Ask

10¢

Spread

24h volume

$4

Family rank

#2 of 16

16 outcomes · KXLEADERNFLRUSHYDS-27

Closes

Feb 8, 2027

Family volume

$754

Orderbook snapshot

9 / 10¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢999
9¢100
8¢53
7¢1
2¢349
AskSize
10¢270
11¢34
16¢499
17¢500
19¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Saquon Barkley leads Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 8, 2027

Identifier

KXLEADERNFLRUSHYDS-27-SBARKLEY26

SF Signal
SF Index
870.95
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1741.9%

IY (No)

17.0%

Adj IY

871%

CRI

10

Overround

-0.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1741.9%
17.0%
Adj IY
871%
10
Overround
-0.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.