Shopify Inc. report Above $112 billion gross merchandise volume in Q2 2026
Above $112 billion is priced at 84¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 83¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 5 inside Will Shopify Inc. report Above $1.
Price history
84¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Shopify Inc. reports Above 112000000000 gross merchandise volume in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $112 billion
Rank
#2 of 5
Leader
Above $108 billion 92¢
Range
3¢-92¢
Family volume
$413
Identifier
KXSHOP-26AUGGMV-112000000000
Jun 26, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
83¢
Ask
88¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$77
Family rank
#2 of 5
5 outcomes · Will Shopify Inc. report Above $1
Closes
Sep 4, 2026
Family volume
$413
Orderbook snapshot
83 / 88¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Shopify Inc. reports Above 112000000000 gross merchandise volume in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 4, 2026
Identifier
KXSHOP-26AUGGMV-112000000000
Event family
Will Shopify Inc. report Above $1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$413
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Above $108 billion 92¢
Current share
0%
Above $108 billion
kalshi · KXSHOP-26AUGGMV-108000000000
Above $112 billion
kalshi · KXSHOP-26AUGGMV-112000000000
Above $116 billion
kalshi · KXSHOP-26AUGGMV-116000000000
Above $120 billion
kalshi · KXSHOP-26AUGGMV-120000000000
Above $124 billion
kalshi · KXSHOP-26AUGGMV-124000000000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.