SimpleFunctions

Signs by Luke Bryan have above 15000 Album Equivalent Units during the September 18, 2026 - September 24, 2026 tracking week

Above 15K is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 54¢ bid, 61¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside Will Signs by Luke Bryan have above.

Price history

43¢ current

+41¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Aug 20, 2026Aug 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Signs by Luke Bryan has above 15K Album Equivalent Units during the September 18, 2026 - September 24, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 15K

Rank

#2 of 6

Leader

Above 10K 76¢

Range

9¢-76¢

Family volume

$104

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-SIG26SEP24-15K

Aug 27, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

43¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

54¢

Ask

61¢

Spread

Reported volume

$22

Family rank

#2 of 6

6 outcomes · Will Signs by Luke Bryan have above

Closes

Sep 27, 2026

Family volume

$104

Orderbook snapshot

54 / 61¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢52
54¢100
45¢200
21¢200
20¢476
AskSize
61¢100
90¢98
91¢140
97¢1
99¢52

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Signs by Luke Bryan has above 15K Album Equivalent Units during the September 18, 2026 - September 24, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 27, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-SIG26SEP24-15K

SF Signal
SF Index
680.71
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Signs by Luke Bryan have above.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$104

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Above 10K 76¢

Current share

0%

Browse this series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMEQUIV series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

987.9%

IY (No)

1361.4%

Adj IY

681%

CRI

1

Overround

1.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

987.9%
1361.4%
Adj IY
681%
1
Overround
1.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.