SimpleFunctions

Signs by Luke Bryan have above 50000 Album Equivalent Units during the September 18, 2026 - September 24, 2026 tracking week

Above 50K is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 6 inside Will Signs by Luke Bryan have above.

Price history

6¢ current

+5¢
0¢25¢50¢
Aug 20, 2026Aug 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Signs by Luke Bryan has above 50K Album Equivalent Units during the September 18, 2026 - September 24, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 50K

Rank

#6 of 6

Leader

Above 10K 86¢

Range

4¢-86¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-SIG26SEP24-50K

Aug 26, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 23m ago

Implied probability

6¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 26, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 23m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#6 of 6

6 outcomes · Will Signs by Luke Bryan have above

Closes

Sep 27, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 8¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
100¢252
4¢100
2¢35
AskSize
8¢115
9¢204
23¢10
24¢7
26¢4

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Signs by Luke Bryan has above 50K Album Equivalent Units during the September 18, 2026 - September 24, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 27, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-SIG26SEP24-50K

SF Signal
SF Index
27273.58
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Signs by Luke Bryan have above.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Above 10K 86¢

Current share

Browse this series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMEQUIV series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

27273.6%

IY (No)

47.3%

Adj IY

27274%

CRI

24

RV

5166%

VR

3.09

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

27273.6%
47.3%
Adj IY
27274%
24
RV
5166%
VR
3.09
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
1.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.