Stefany Shaheen · KXNH1D-26
Stefany Shaheen is priced at 77¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 73¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNH1D-26.
Price history
77¢ current
+18¢Contract brief
If Stefany Shaheen wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NH-1 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Stefany Shaheen
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Stefany Shaheen 73¢
Range
19¢-73¢
Family volume
$17
Identifier
KXNH1D-26-SSHA
Jun 25, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
73¢
Ask
77¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$17
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXNH1D-26
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Family volume
$17
Orderbook snapshot
73 / 77¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Stefany Shaheen wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NH-1 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Identifier
KXNH1D-26-SSHA
Event family
KXNH1D-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$17
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Stefany Shaheen 73¢
Current share
100%
Stefany Shaheen
kalshi · KXNH1D-26-SSHA
Maura Sullivan
kalshi · KXNH1D-26-MSUL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.