Susie Wiles · KXCABOUT-26MAY22
Susie Wiles is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXCABOUT-26MAY22.
Price history
9¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
If Susie Wiles is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Susie Wiles
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Howard Lutnick 32¢
Range
1¢-32¢
Family volume
$708
Identifier
KXCABOUT-26MAY22-SWIL
May 27, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$10
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXCABOUT-26MAY22
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Family volume
$708
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 9¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Susie Wiles is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Identifier
KXCABOUT-26MAY22-SWIL
Event family
KXCABOUT-26MAY22.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$708
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Howard Lutnick 32¢
Current share
1%
Howard Lutnick
kalshi · KXCABOUT-26MAY22-HLUT
Sean Duffy
kalshi · KXCABOUT-26MAY22-SDUF
Pete Hegseth
kalshi · KXCABOUT-26MAY22-PHEG
Susie Wiles
kalshi · KXCABOUT-26MAY22-SWIL
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
kalshi · KXCABOUT-26MAY22-RFK
Chris Wright
kalshi · KXCABOUT-26MAY22-CWRI
Linda McMahon
kalshi · KXCABOUT-26MAY22-LMCM
Brooke Rollins
kalshi · KXCABOUT-26MAY22-BROL
Doug Collins
kalshi · KXCABOUT-26MAY22-DCOL
Lee Zeldin
kalshi · KXCABOUT-26MAY22-LZEL
Marco Rubio
kalshi · KXCABOUT-26MAY22-MRUB
Doug Burgum
kalshi · KXCABOUT-26MAY22-DBUR
Jamieson Greer
kalshi · KXCABOUT-26MAY22-JGRE
John Ratcliffe
kalshi · KXCABOUT-26MAY22-JRAT
Kelly Loeffler
kalshi · KXCABOUT-26MAY22-KLOE
Michael Kratsios
kalshi · KXCABOUT-26MAY22-MKRA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.