Tarik Skubal · KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05
Tarik Skubal is priced at 71¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 72¢ bid, 73¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05.
Price history
71¢ current
+20¢Contract brief
If Tarik Skubal is traded before Aug 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tarik Skubal
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Aroldis Chapman 82¢
Range
3¢-82¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-TSKU
Jul 11, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
72¢
Ask
73¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$20
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05
Closes
Aug 5, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
72 / 73¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tarik Skubal is traded before Aug 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 5, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-TSKU
Event family
KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Aroldis Chapman 82¢
Current share
2%
Aroldis Chapman
kalshi · KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-ACHA
Tarik Skubal
kalshi · KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-TSKU
Jarren Duran
kalshi · KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-JDUR
Rafael Devers
kalshi · KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-RDEV
Willson Contreras
kalshi · KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-WCON
Christian Walker
kalshi · KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-CWAL
Jose Berrios
kalshi · KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-JBER
Jo Adell
kalshi · KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-JADE
Yandy Diaz
kalshi · KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-YDIA
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
kalshi · KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-JCHI
Adley Rutschman
kalshi · KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-ARUT
Hunter Greene
kalshi · KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-HGRE
Sandy Alcantara
kalshi · KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-SALC
Randy Arozarena
kalshi · KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-RARO
Fernando Tatis Jr.
kalshi · KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-FTAT
Gunnar Henderson
kalshi · KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-GHEN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
Read 71% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.