Tesla Inc report above 0 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027
Above 0 is priced at 88¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 87¢ bid, 93¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside Will Tesla Inc report above.
Price history
88¢ current
−6¢Contract brief
If Tesla Inc reports above 0 Semi Trucks Produced in Any Quarter before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 0
Rank
#1 of 7
Leader
Above 0 87¢
Range
2¢-87¢
Family volume
$4
Identifier
KXTESLASEMI-27JAN-0
Jun 27, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
87¢
Ask
93¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$20K
Family rank
#1 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Tesla Inc report above
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$4
Orderbook snapshot
87 / 93¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tesla Inc reports above 0 Semi Trucks Produced in Any Quarter before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXTESLASEMI-27JAN-0
Event family
Will Tesla Inc report above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above 0 87¢
Current share
0%
Above 0
kalshi · KXTESLASEMI-27JAN-0
Above 1000
kalshi · KXTESLASEMI-27JAN-1000
Above 5000
kalshi · KXTESLASEMI-27JAN-5000
Above 10000
kalshi · KXTESLASEMI-27JAN-10000
Above 15000
kalshi · KXTESLASEMI-27JAN-15000
Above 20000
kalshi · KXTESLASEMI-27JAN-20000
Above 25000
kalshi · KXTESLASEMI-27JAN-25000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 88% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.