Tesla Inc report above 1000 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027
Above 1000 is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Will Tesla Inc report above.
Price history
36¢ current
−5¢Contract brief
If Tesla Inc reports above 1000 Semi Trucks Produced in Any Quarter before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 1000
Rank
#2 of 7
Leader
Above 0 91¢
Range
1¢-91¢
Family volume
$166
Identifier
KXTESLASEMI-27JAN-1000
Aug 21, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
35¢
Ask
38¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$15
Family rank
#2 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Tesla Inc report above
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$166
Orderbook snapshot
35 / 38¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tesla Inc reports above 1000 Semi Trucks Produced in Any Quarter before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXTESLASEMI-27JAN-1000
Event family
Will Tesla Inc report above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$166
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above 0 91¢
Current share
9%
Above 0
kalshi · KXTESLASEMI-27JAN-0
Above 1000
kalshi · KXTESLASEMI-27JAN-1000
Above 5000
kalshi · KXTESLASEMI-27JAN-5000
Above 10000
kalshi · KXTESLASEMI-27JAN-10000
Above 15000
kalshi · KXTESLASEMI-27JAN-15000
Above 20000
kalshi · KXTESLASEMI-27JAN-20000
Above 25000
kalshi · KXTESLASEMI-27JAN-25000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.