Ken Paxton and Susan Collins · Will Texas Senate
Ken Paxton and Susan Collins is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside Will Texas Senate.
Price history
29¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If ALL of the following occur: Texas Senate: Ken Paxton wins, Maine Senate: Susan Collins wins, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ken Paxton and Susan Collins
Rank
#2 of 4
Leader
James Talarico and Graham Platner 34¢
Range
6¢-34¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXMETXCOMBO-26NOV-PAX-COL
Jun 25, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
28¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$908
Family rank
#2 of 4
4 outcomes · Will Texas Senate
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
28 / 29¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If ALL of the following occur: Texas Senate: Ken Paxton wins, Maine Senate: Susan Collins wins, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMETXCOMBO-26NOV-PAX-COL
Event family
Will Texas Senate.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
James Talarico and Graham Platner 34¢
Current share
67%
James Talarico and Graham Platner
kalshi · KXMETXCOMBO-26NOV-TAL-PLA
Ken Paxton and Susan Collins
kalshi · KXMETXCOMBO-26NOV-PAX-COL
Ken Paxton and Graham Platner
kalshi · KXMETXCOMBO-26NOV-PAX-PLA
James Talarico and Susan Collins
kalshi · KXMETXCOMBO-26NOV-TAL-COL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.