Ken Paxton and Graham Platner · Will Texas Senate
Ken Paxton and Graham Platner is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside Will Texas Senate.
Price history
26¢ current
−8¢Contract brief
If ALL of the following occur: Texas Senate: Ken Paxton wins, Maine Senate: Graham Platner wins, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ken Paxton and Graham Platner
Rank
#3 of 4
Leader
James Talarico and Graham Platner 35¢
Range
6¢-35¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXMETXCOMBO-26NOV-PAX-PLA
Jun 24, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
26¢
Ask
30¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$193
Family rank
#3 of 4
4 outcomes · Will Texas Senate
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
26 / 30¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If ALL of the following occur: Texas Senate: Ken Paxton wins, Maine Senate: Graham Platner wins, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMETXCOMBO-26NOV-PAX-PLA
Event family
Will Texas Senate.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
James Talarico and Graham Platner 35¢
Current share
12%
James Talarico and Graham Platner
kalshi · KXMETXCOMBO-26NOV-TAL-PLA
Ken Paxton and Susan Collins
kalshi · KXMETXCOMBO-26NOV-PAX-COL
Ken Paxton and Graham Platner
kalshi · KXMETXCOMBO-26NOV-PAX-PLA
James Talarico and Susan Collins
kalshi · KXMETXCOMBO-26NOV-TAL-COL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.