Texas win at least 80 games this season
80+ wins is priced at 54¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 54¢ bid, 71¢ ask, 17¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 6 inside Will Texas win at least.
Price history
54¢ current
Contract brief
If Texas has 80+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
80+ wins
Rank
#3 of 6
Leader
75+ wins 88¢
Range
1¢-88¢
Family volume
$8
Identifier
KXMLBWINS-TEX-26-T80
Aug 27, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
54¢
Ask
71¢
Spread
17¢
24h volume
$8
Family rank
#3 of 6
6 outcomes · Will Texas win at least
Closes
Nov 8, 2026
Family volume
$8
Orderbook snapshot
54 / 71¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Texas has 80+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 8, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBWINS-TEX-26-T80
Event family
Will Texas win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8
Outcomes
6
Highest price
75+ wins 88¢
Current share
100%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.