SimpleFunctions

Texas win at least 90 games this season

90+ wins is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 16¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 7 inside Will Texas win at least.

Price history

19¢ current

+6¢
0¢10¢20¢
May 27, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Texas has 90+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

90+ wins

Rank

#7 of 7

Leader

65+ wins 92¢

Range

1¢-92¢

Family volume

$228

Identifier

KXMLBWINS-TEX-26-T90

Jun 25, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

19¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

Ask

17¢

Spread

16¢

Reported volume

$7K

Family rank

#7 of 7

7 outcomes · Will Texas win at least

Closes

Nov 8, 2026

Family volume

$228

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 17¢

Kalshi
16¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.1K
AskSize
17¢25
21¢100
22¢123
25¢200
36¢120

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Texas has 90+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 8, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBWINS-TEX-26-T90

SF Signal
SF Index
4208.71
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Texas win at least.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$228

Outcomes

7

Highest price

65+ wins 92¢

Current share

0%

Browse this series

MLB Team Season Win Total Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLBWINS series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4208.7%

IY (No)

17.1%

Adj IY

4209%

CRI

16

RV

40774%

VR

19.15

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4208.7%
17.1%
Adj IY
4209%
16
RV
40774%
VR
19.15
IAR
1.1/h
Overround
2.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.