France wins 1H 2-1 · Will the 1st half score
France wins 1H 2-1 is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 22¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 14 inside Will the 1st half score.
Price history
6¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Norway 1, France 2 in the Norway vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
France wins 1H 2-1
Rank
#6 of 14
Leader
Draw 1H 0-0 9¢
Range
3¢-9¢
Family volume
$6K
Identifier
KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26NORFRA-NOR1FRA2
Jun 25, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
27¢
Spread
22¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#6 of 14
14 outcomes · Will the 1st half score
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Family volume
$6K
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 27¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Norway 1, France 2 in the Norway vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Identifier
KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26NORFRA-NOR1FRA2
Event family
Will the 1st half score.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6K
Outcomes
14
Highest price
Draw 1H 0-0 9¢
Current share
55%
Draw 1H 0-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26NORFRA-NOR0FRA0
France wins 1H 1-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26NORFRA-NOR0FRA1
Draw 1H 1-1
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26NORFRA-NOR1FRA1
France wins 1H 2-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26NORFRA-NOR0FRA2
Norway wins 1H 1-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26NORFRA-NOR1FRA0
France wins 1H 2-1
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26NORFRA-NOR1FRA2
Norway wins 1H 2-1
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26NORFRA-NOR2FRA1
France wins 1H 3-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26NORFRA-NOR0FRA3
France wins 1H 3-1
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26NORFRA-NOR1FRA3
France wins 1H 3-2
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26NORFRA-NOR2FRA3
Norway wins 1H 2-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26NORFRA-NOR2FRA0
Norway wins 1H 3-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26NORFRA-NOR3FRA0
Norway wins 1H 3-1
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26NORFRA-NOR3FRA1
Draw 1H 2-2
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26NORFRA-NOR2FRA2
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.