SimpleFunctions

B200 compute per hour price above $10.37 on Dec 31

Above $10.37 is priced at 30¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

30¢ current

+28¢
0¢25¢
Aug 6, 2026Aug 22, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of B200 compute per hour is above $10.37 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $10.37

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

Above $7.67 63¢

Range

2¢-63¢

Family volume

$126

Identifier

KXB200MAX-26DEC31-10.370

Aug 22, 2026, 9:09 PM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

30¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Aug 22, 2026, 9:09 PM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

27¢

Ask

32¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$126

Orderbook snapshot

27 / 32¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢3.0K
27¢100
24¢550
2¢200
AskSize
32¢850
96¢105
97¢150
98¢52
99¢2.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of B200 compute per hour is above $10.37 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXB200MAX-26DEC31-10.370

SF Signal
SF Index
751.45
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

751.4%

IY (No)

102.8%

Adj IY

751%

CRI

3

RV

371%

VR

1.28

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

751.4%
102.8%
Adj IY
751%
3
RV
371%
VR
1.28
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
5.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.