SimpleFunctions

B200 compute per hour price above $9.17 on Dec 31

Above $9.17 is priced at 42¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

42¢ current

+40¢
0¢25¢
Aug 5, 2026Aug 21, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of B200 compute per hour is above $9.17 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $9.17

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Above $7.37 70¢

Range

2¢-70¢

Family volume

$66

Identifier

KXB200MAX-26DEC31-9.170

Aug 21, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 26m ago

Implied probability

42¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Aug 21, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 26m ago

Bid

39¢

Ask

45¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$66

Orderbook snapshot

39 / 45¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
100¢2.0K
39¢25
37¢25
2¢900
AskSize
45¢50
57¢700
97¢37
98¢49
99¢3.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of B200 compute per hour is above $9.17 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXB200MAX-26DEC31-9.170

SF Signal
SF Index
431.56
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

431.6%

IY (No)

176.4%

Adj IY

432%

CRI

2

RV

23803%

VR

9.33

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

431.6%
176.4%
Adj IY
432%
2
RV
23803%
VR
9.33
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
5.3%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.