Congressional Leadership Fund report more than $145M in cash on hand at the end of Q3
Above $145M is priced at 46¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 44¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside Will the Congressional Leadership Fund report more than $.
Price history
46¢ current
+15¢Contract brief
If the Congressional Leadership Fund's cash on hand is above $145 million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $145M
Rank
#1 of 7
Leader
Above $145M 44¢
Range
7¢-44¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXFUNDRAISING-CLFQ326-A145000000
Jul 23, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
44¢
Ask
45¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 7
7 outcomes · Will the Congressional Leadership Fund report more than $
Closes
Oct 16, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
44 / 45¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Congressional Leadership Fund's cash on hand is above $145 million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 16, 2026
Identifier
KXFUNDRAISING-CLFQ326-A145000000
Event family
Will the Congressional Leadership Fund report more than $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above $145M 44¢
Current share
53%
Above $145M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-CLFQ326-A145000000
Above $155M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-CLFQ326-A155000000
Above $165M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-CLFQ326-A165000000
Above $175M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-CLFQ326-A175000000
Above $185M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-CLFQ326-A185000000
Above $195M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-CLFQ326-A195000000
Above $205M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-CLFQ326-A205000000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.