48 · Will the Democratic party hold
48 is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 14 inside Will the Democratic party hold.
Price history
7¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If the Democratic party has exactly 48 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
48
Rank
#6 of 14
Leader
45 10¢
Range
2¢-10¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXDSENATESEATS-29-E48
Jun 8, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
3¢
Reported volume
$112
Family rank
#6 of 14
14 outcomes · Will the Democratic party hold
Closes
Feb 1, 2029
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 9¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Democratic party has exactly 48 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 1, 2029
Identifier
KXDSENATESEATS-29-E48
Event family
Will the Democratic party hold.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
14
Highest price
45 10¢
Current share
—
45
kalshi · KXDSENATESEATS-29-E45
Below 45
kalshi · KXDSENATESEATS-29-B45
Above 56
kalshi · KXDSENATESEATS-29-A56
49
kalshi · KXDSENATESEATS-29-E49
50
kalshi · KXDSENATESEATS-29-E50
48
kalshi · KXDSENATESEATS-29-E48
51
kalshi · KXDSENATESEATS-29-E51
47
kalshi · KXDSENATESEATS-29-E47
52
kalshi · KXDSENATESEATS-29-E52
46
kalshi · KXDSENATESEATS-29-E46
53
kalshi · KXDSENATESEATS-29-E53
54
kalshi · KXDSENATESEATS-29-E54
55
kalshi · KXDSENATESEATS-29-E55
56
kalshi · KXDSENATESEATS-29-E56
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.