Will the exact finishing order be in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary
Norman, Fry, Graham is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 6 inside Will the exact finishing order be in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary.
Price history
16¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If the exact result in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary is Ralph Norman (1st), Russell Fry (2nd), Darline Graham (3rd), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Norman, Fry, Graham
Rank
#3 of 6
Leader
Graham, Norman, Fry 25¢
Range
6¢-25¢
Family volume
$13K
Identifier
KXSCRSENS1REXACT-26AUG11-NOR-FRY-GRA
Aug 8, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#3 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the exact finishing order be in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary
Closes
Aug 11, 2027
Family volume
$13K
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the exact result in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary is Ralph Norman (1st), Russell Fry (2nd), Darline Graham (3rd), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 11, 2027
Identifier
KXSCRSENS1REXACT-26AUG11-NOR-FRY-GRA
Event family
Will the exact finishing order be in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$13K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Graham, Norman, Fry 25¢
Current share
23%
Graham, Norman, Fry
kalshi · KXSCRSENS1REXACT-26AUG11-GRA-NOR-FRY
Graham, Fry, Norman
kalshi · KXSCRSENS1REXACT-26AUG11-GRA-FRY-NOR
Norman, Fry, Graham
kalshi · KXSCRSENS1REXACT-26AUG11-NOR-FRY-GRA
Norman, Graham, Fry
kalshi · KXSCRSENS1REXACT-26AUG11-NOR-GRA-FRY
Fry, Norman, Graham
kalshi · KXSCRSENS1REXACT-26AUG11-FRY-NOR-GRA
Fry, Graham, Norman
kalshi · KXSCRSENS1REXACT-26AUG11-FRY-GRA-NOR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.