Hang Seng Index at least HK$24,400 in June 2026
At least HK$24,400 is priced at 53¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 69¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 6 inside Will the Hang Seng Index be at least HK$24.
Price history
53¢ current
+51¢Contract brief
If the value of Hang Seng Index (HSI) is at least HK$24,400 from Jun 18, 2026 to Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least HK$24,400
Rank
#5 of 6
Leader
At least HK$24,100 82¢
Range
3¢-82¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXHSI-26JUN30-24400
Jun 22, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
72¢
Spread
69¢
Reported volume
$42
Family rank
#5 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the Hang Seng Index be at least HK$24
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 72¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the value of Hang Seng Index (HSI) is at least HK$24,400 from Jun 18, 2026 to Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXHSI-26JUN30-24400
Event family
Will the Hang Seng Index be at least HK$24.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
At least HK$24,100 82¢
Current share
0%
At least HK$24,100
kalshi · KXHSI-26JUN30-24100
At least HK$24,000
kalshi · KXHSI-26JUN30-24000
At least HK$24,500
kalshi · KXHSI-26JUN30-24500
At least HK$24,200
kalshi · KXHSI-26JUN30-24200
At least HK$24,400
kalshi · KXHSI-26JUN30-24400
At least HK$24,300
kalshi · KXHSI-26JUN30-24300
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 53% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.