Hang Seng Index at least HK$24,500 in June 2026
At least HK$24,500 is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 29¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 5 inside Will the Hang Seng Index be at least HK$24.
Price history
14¢ current
+12¢Contract brief
If the value of Hang Seng Index (HSI) is at least HK$24,500 from Jun 18, 2026 to Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least HK$24,500
Rank
#2 of 5
Leader
At least HK$24,100 51¢
Range
2¢-51¢
Family volume
$32
Identifier
KXHSI-26JUN30-24500
Jun 25, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
29¢
24h volume
$20
Family rank
#2 of 5
5 outcomes · Will the Hang Seng Index be at least HK$24
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$32
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 29¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the value of Hang Seng Index (HSI) is at least HK$24,500 from Jun 18, 2026 to Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXHSI-26JUN30-24500
Event family
Will the Hang Seng Index be at least HK$24.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$32
Outcomes
5
Highest price
At least HK$24,100 51¢
Current share
63%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.