SimpleFunctions

Las Vegas Aces Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 40 games this season

40+ wins is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 7 inside Will the Las Vegas Aces Women's Pro Basketball team win at least.

Price history

10¢ current

+9¢
0¢10¢
May 28, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If the Las Vegas Aces Women's Pro Basketball team wins at least 40 games in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

40+ wins

Rank

#7 of 7

Leader

15+ wins 99¢

Range

2¢-99¢

Family volume

$1

Identifier

KXWNBAWINS-26LV-40

Jun 26, 2026, 9:46 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

10¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 9:46 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$1

Family rank

#7 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the Las Vegas Aces Women's Pro Basketball team win at least

Closes

Oct 7, 2026

Family volume

$1

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 7¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1
2¢5
AskSize
7¢350
8¢1.3K
30¢1
82¢50
83¢3.3K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Las Vegas Aces Women's Pro Basketball team wins at least 40 games in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 7, 2026

Identifier

KXWNBAWINS-26LV-40

SF Signal
Regime
taker

Event family

Will the Las Vegas Aces Women's Pro Basketball team win at least.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1

Outcomes

7

Highest price

15+ wins 99¢

Current share

0%

Browse this series

WNBA Team Season Win Total Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXWNBAWINS series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.