Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Florida be at least 6 percentage points?
This contract is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 5¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$749
Best sibling
Democrats, 3+ pts 9¢
Ticker
KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVD-P6
Price history
5¢ current
−2¢Orderbook snapshot
3 / 8¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVD-P6
Event family
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Florida be at least.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$749
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Democrats, 3+ pts 9¢
Current share
80%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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