Margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary above 3%
John Hickenlooper, ≥3% is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 99¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 10 inside Will the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary be above.
Price history
99¢ current
+18¢Contract brief
If the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary falls within 3% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
John Hickenlooper, ≥3%
Rank
#1 of 10
Leader
John Hickenlooper, ≥3% 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$95
Identifier
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATECOD26-JHIC-P51
Jul 9, 2026, 7:33 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
99¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$241K
Family rank
#1 of 10
10 outcomes · Will the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary be above
Closes
Jun 30, 2027
Family volume
$95
Orderbook snapshot
99 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary falls within 3% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 30, 2027
Identifier
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATECOD26-JHIC-P51
Event family
Will the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$95
Outcomes
10
Highest price
John Hickenlooper, ≥3% 99¢
Current share
0%
John Hickenlooper, ≥3%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATECOD26-JHIC-P51
John Hickenlooper, ≥6%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATECOD26-JHIC-P53
John Hickenlooper, ≥9%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATECOD26-JHIC-P54
John Hickenlooper, ≥12%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATECOD26-JHIC-P56
John Hickenlooper, ≥15%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATECOD26-JHIC-P57
John Hickenlooper, ≥18%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATECOD26-JHIC-P59
John Hickenlooper, ≥21%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATECOD26-JHIC-P60
John Hickenlooper, ≥24%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATECOD26-JHIC-P62
John Hickenlooper, ≥27%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATECOD26-JHIC-P63
John Hickenlooper, ≥30%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATECOD26-JHIC-P65
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Event Probability API
Read 99% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.