81.51 or above · Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $
81.51 or above is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $.
Price history
6¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $81.5 between Issuance and Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
81.51 or above
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
74.01 or above 81¢
Range
4¢-81¢
Family volume
$8K
Identifier
KXWTIMAX-26JUL31-T81.5
Jul 12, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
9¢
24h volume
$800
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Family volume
$8K
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $81.5 between Issuance and Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Identifier
KXWTIMAX-26JUL31-T81.5
Event family
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
74.01 or above 81¢
Current share
10%
74.01 or above
kalshi · KXWTIMAX-26JUL31-T74
74.51 or above
kalshi · KXWTIMAX-26JUL31-T74.50
75.01 or above
kalshi · KXWTIMAX-26JUL31-T75
76.51 or above
kalshi · KXWTIMAX-26JUL31-T76.5
77.01 or above
kalshi · KXWTIMAX-26JUL31-T77
75.51 or above
kalshi · KXWTIMAX-26JUL31-T75.50
76.01 or above
kalshi · KXWTIMAX-26JUL31-T76
78.51 or above
kalshi · KXWTIMAX-26JUL31-T78.5
78.01 or above
kalshi · KXWTIMAX-26JUL31-T78
79.51 or above
kalshi · KXWTIMAX-26JUL31-T79.5
80.01 or above
kalshi · KXWTIMAX-26JUL31-T80
80.51 or above
kalshi · KXWTIMAX-26JUL31-T80.5
81.51 or above
kalshi · KXWTIMAX-26JUL31-T81.5
81.01 or above
kalshi · KXWTIMAX-26JUL31-T81
79.01 or above
kalshi · KXWTIMAX-26JUL31-T79
82.01 or above
kalshi · KXWTIMAX-26JUL31-T82
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.