SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 3, 2027549 days left

Will the Mike Duggan party win the governorship in Michigan

This contract is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

25¢
$58K volume
$47K liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$58K

Best sibling

Ticker

GOVPARTYMI-26-MD

Price history

25¢ current

+2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 18, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

22 / 25¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
22¢31
21¢759
20¢500
19¢5.0K
15¢100
AskSize
25¢956
26¢517
27¢5.0K
28¢215
30¢25

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If a representative of the Mike Duggan (Independent) party is inaugurated as the governor of Michigan pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

GOVPARTYMI-26-MD

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$58K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will the Mike Duggan party win the governorship in Michigan 25¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

235.8%

IY (No)

18.8%

Adj IY

118%

CRI

4

Overround

-0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.386

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

235.8%
18.8%
Adj IY
118%
4
Overround
-0.0%

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