79° or above · Will the minimum temperature
79° or above is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside Will the minimum temperature.
Price history
25¢ current
Contract brief
If the minimum temperature recorded at San Antonio for Jul 13, 2026, is greater than 78° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
79° or above
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
77° to 78° 38¢
Range
1¢-38¢
Family volume
$312
Identifier
KXLOWTSATX-26JUL13-T78
Jul 12, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
24¢
Ask
26¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$67
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the minimum temperature
Closes
Jul 14, 2026
Family volume
$312
Orderbook snapshot
24 / 26¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the minimum temperature recorded at San Antonio for Jul 13, 2026, is greater than 78° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 14, 2026
Identifier
KXLOWTSATX-26JUL13-T78
Event family
Will the minimum temperature.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$312
Outcomes
6
Highest price
77° to 78° 38¢
Current share
21%
77° to 78°
kalshi · KXLOWTSATX-26JUL13-B77.5
79° or above
kalshi · KXLOWTSATX-26JUL13-T78
75° to 76°
kalshi · KXLOWTSATX-26JUL13-B75.5
73° to 74°
kalshi · KXLOWTSATX-26JUL13-B73.5
71° to 72°
kalshi · KXLOWTSATX-26JUL13-B71.5
70° or below
kalshi · KXLOWTSATX-26JUL13-T71
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.