80° or above · Will the minimum temperature
80° or above is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 5 inside Will the minimum temperature.
Price history
26¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If the minimum temperature recorded at San Antonio for Jun 22, 2026, is greater than 79° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
80° or above
Rank
#3 of 5
Leader
78° to 79° 36¢
Range
1¢-36¢
Family volume
$626
Identifier
KXLOWTSATX-26JUN22-T79
Jun 21, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
22¢
Ask
25¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$5
Family rank
#3 of 5
5 outcomes · Will the minimum temperature
Closes
Jun 23, 2026
Family volume
$626
Orderbook snapshot
22 / 25¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the minimum temperature recorded at San Antonio for Jun 22, 2026, is greater than 79° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 23, 2026
Identifier
KXLOWTSATX-26JUN22-T79
Event family
Will the minimum temperature.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$626
Outcomes
5
Highest price
78° to 79° 36¢
Current share
1%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.