72.99 or below · Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $
72.99 or below is priced at 73¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 69¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $.
Price history
73¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $73.00 between Issuance and Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
72.99 or below
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
73.49 or below 72¢
Range
5¢-72¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXWTIMIN-26AUG31-T73.00
Aug 9, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
69¢
Ask
77¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$455
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
69 / 77¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $73.00 between Issuance and Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Identifier
KXWTIMIN-26AUG31-T73.00
Event family
Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
73.49 or below 72¢
Current share
0%
73.49 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26AUG31-T73.50
72.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26AUG31-T73.00
72.49 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26AUG31-T72.50
71.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26AUG31-T72.00
71.49 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26AUG31-T71.50
70.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26AUG31-T71.00
70.49 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26AUG31-T70.50
69.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26AUG31-T70.00
69.49 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26AUG31-T69.50
68.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26AUG31-T69.00
68.49 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26AUG31-T68.50
67.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26AUG31-T68.00
67.49 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26AUG31-T67.50
66.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26AUG31-T67.00
66.49 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26AUG31-T66.50
65.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26AUG31-T66.00
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 73% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.