Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 above $0.50 in August 2026
Above $0.50 is priced at 94¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 95¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $.
Price history
94¢ current
+92¢Contract brief
If the average value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $0.5 in August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $0.50
Rank
#2 of 7
Leader
Above $0.75 51¢
Range
6¢-51¢
Family volume
$22
Identifier
KXA100MS-26AUG-0.500
Jul 8, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 2h ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
95¢
Reported volume
$8
Family rank
#2 of 7
7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Family volume
$22
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the average value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $0.5 in August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Identifier
KXA100MS-26AUG-0.500
Event family
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$22
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above $0.75 51¢
Current share
0%
Above $0.75
kalshi · KXA100MS-26AUG-0.750
Above $0.50
kalshi · KXA100MS-26AUG-0.500
Above $1.00
kalshi · KXA100MS-26AUG-1.000
Above $1.25
kalshi · KXA100MS-26AUG-1.250
Above $1.50
kalshi · KXA100MS-26AUG-1.500
Above $1.75
kalshi · KXA100MS-26AUG-1.750
Above $2.00
kalshi · KXA100MS-26AUG-2.000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.