SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 above $1.00 in August 2026

Above $1.00 is priced at 57¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 57¢ bid, 58¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $.

Price history

57¢ current

+55¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jul 1, 2026Jul 9, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $1 in August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $1.00

Rank

#3 of 7

Leader

Above $0.50 95¢

Range

18¢-95¢

Family volume

$219

Identifier

KXA100MS-26AUG-1.000

Jul 9, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

57¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 9, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

57¢

Ask

58¢

Spread

24h volume

$1

Family rank

#3 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $

Closes

Sep 1, 2026

Family volume

$219

Orderbook snapshot

57 / 58¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
57¢134
AskSize
58¢22
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $1 in August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 1, 2026

Identifier

KXA100MS-26AUG-1.000

SF Signal
SF Index
889.34
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$219

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $0.50 95¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

515.1%

IY (No)

905.2%

Adj IY

889%

CRI

1

RV

146690%

VR

14.90

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

515.1%
905.2%
Adj IY
889%
1
RV
146690%
VR
14.90
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
2.3%
LAS
0.02

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.