SimpleFunctions

Will the New Orleans pro football team win at least 8 games this season

Will the New Orleans pro football team win at least 8 games this season is priced at 46¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 46¢ bid, 48¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

46¢ current

−10¢
50¢75¢
Sep 9, 2026Oct 8, 2026

Contract brief

If the New Orleans Pro Football team wins at least 8 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will the New Orleans pro football team win at least 8 games this season

Rank

Standalone

Leader

—

Range

—

Family volume

$63K

Identifier

KXNFLWINS-27NO-8

Oct 9, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 21h ago

Implied probability

46¢
Latest venue quote
Oct 9, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 21h ago

Bid

46¢

Ask

48¢

Spread

2¢

24h volume

$1

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$63K

Orderbook snapshot

46 / 48¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
46¢202K
45¢2.6K
44¢2.2K
43¢393
42¢600
AskSize
48¢40
49¢202K
50¢5.0K
61¢25
63¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the New Orleans Pro Football team wins at least 8 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLWINS-27NO-8

SF Signal
SF Index
213.14
Regime
taker

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$63K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will the New Orleans pro football team win at least 8 games this season 46¢

Current share

100%

Browse this series

NFL Team Season Win Total Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXNFLWINS series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

426.3%

IY (No)

309.3%

Adj IY

213%

CRI

1

Overround

3.3%

Regime

taker

Score

0.614

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

426.3%
309.3%
Adj IY
213%
1
Overround
3.3%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.