Number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 5 between Jun 22, 2026 and Jun 28, 2026
5 is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly.
Price history
19¢ current
−40¢Contract brief
If the number of distinct days Donald Trump is photographed in a tagged editorial photo on Getty Images between Jun 22, 2026 and Jun 28, 2026 is exactly 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
5
Rank
#3 of 4
Leader
6 57¢
Range
2¢-57¢
Family volume
$33K
Identifier
KXTRUMPPHOTO-26JUN28-5
Jun 25, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$25K
Family rank
#3 of 4
4 outcomes · Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Family volume
$33K
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 18¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the number of distinct days Donald Trump is photographed in a tagged editorial photo on Getty Images between Jun 22, 2026 and Jun 28, 2026 is exactly 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPPHOTO-26JUN28-5
Event family
Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$33K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
6 57¢
Current share
75%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.