Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 7 between Jun 15, 2026 and Jun 21, 2026
Leader sits at 95% across 2 bound outcomes, runner-up at 3%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
6
Outcomes
2
winner-take-all
Runner-up
3¢
7
Spread
92pp
dominant leader
24h volume
$14K
liquid
Closes
Jul 20, 2026
1 days
Venue
Kalshi
2 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly
Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 7 between Jul 13, 2026 and Jul 19, 2026?: 7
KXTRUMPPHOTO-26JUL19-7
Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 6 between Jul 13, 2026 and Jul 19, 2026?: 6
KXTRUMPPHOTO-26JUL19-6
Analysis
This contract predicts whether Trump will appear in Getty Images editorial photos on exactly 7 distinct days during the week of June 15-21, 2026. Currently priced at 8 cents, this outcome is considered unlikely compared to the market leader (exactly 4 days at 31 cents). The distribution suggests traders expect below-average media coverage for Trump during this period. Key drivers include Trump's scheduled public appearances, news events commanding editorial photography attention, and Getty's editorial assignment decisions. The exact-day structure makes rare occurrences like this inherently low-probability—achieving seven distinct days requires consistent daily newsworthiness and Getty photographer presence. Resolution occurs automatically on June 22, 2026, when Getty's editorial database can be analyzed. Market pricing reflects skepticism that Trump will generate sufficient editorial photography volume across every day of the week.
- ›Getty Images editorial photos require active newsworthiness and photographer assignment decisions, not just Trump's physical presence at events
- ›The exact-7-days outcome requires maximum coverage consistency across a 7-day window; any single day without Getty editorial coverage eliminates this contract
- ›Market pricing heavily favors exactly 4 days (31%) over 7 days (8%), suggesting consensus expectation of moderate rather than saturated editorial coverage
- ›External news events and competing stories during June 15-21 will influence Getty's editorial assignment priorities and photo volume
- ›Contract resolves definitively on June 22, 2026, when Getty's database becomes final reference for distinct coverage days
Recently closed in trump
- Will President Trump issue any executive action on declassifying or releasing records related to unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) or UFOs before Jul 1, 2026last 3% · 7d
- Will Trump say "Airbnb / ABNB" before Aug 1, 2026last 6% · 9d
- Will Donald Trump pardon between 3 and 9 people before May 1, 2026last 27% · 9d
- Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligencelast 97% · 10d
- Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act becomes law without Donald Trump’s signature before Jul 14, 2026last 97% · 25d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 2 contracts (95% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
Thicker comparable contracts
In trump
Related reading
Trump Mention Markets See Frenzied Activity as Traders Bet on His Next Fox News Line
The largest cluster of Trump-related trading is in 'mention' markets, where contracts predict specific phrases Donald Trump will say during his Fox News appearances or speeches. The most liquid contract trades at 99¢ with 54,452 volume. These markets represent a unique form of political sentiment trading, with dozens of specific phrases being priced with near-certainty.
Trump's Next Attorney General: Market Converges on a Favorite at 95 Cents
A contract on 'Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?' surged to 95 cents, the highest conviction seen in any major cabinet speculation market. This suggests traders believe a specific individual is all but confirmed for the role.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: just now.