SimpleFunctions

NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price above $5.75 at 4 PM ET on Aug 07

Above $5.75 is priced at 84¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 70¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 10 inside Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

84¢ current

+3¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jul 16, 2026Jul 30, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $5.75 on Aug 07, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $5.75

Rank

#7 of 10

Leader

Above $3.00 99¢

Range

15¢-99¢

Family volume

$860

Identifier

KXB200WS-26AUG07-5.75

Jul 30, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

84¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 30, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

70¢

Ask

77¢

Spread

Reported volume

$254

Family rank

#7 of 10

10 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Aug 7, 2026

Family volume

$860

Orderbook snapshot

70 / 77¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
70¢9
68¢50
AskSize
77¢25
83¢76
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $5.75 on Aug 07, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 7, 2026

Identifier

KXB200WS-26AUG07-5.75

SF Signal
SF Index
5050.80
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1855.4%

IY (No)

10101.6%

Adj IY

5051%

CRI

2

Overround

3.5%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

1855.4%
10101.6%
Adj IY
5051%
2
Overround
3.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.