SimpleFunctions

NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price above $6.5 at 4 PM ET on Aug 07

Above $6.50 is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 66¢ bid, 67¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 10 inside Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

66¢ current

+63¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jun 29, 2026Jul 17, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $6.5 on Aug 07, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $6.50

Rank

#9 of 10

Leader

Above $4.00 97¢

Range

39¢-97¢

Family volume

$740

Identifier

KXB200WS-26AUG07-6.500

Jul 19, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

66¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 19, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

66¢

Ask

67¢

Spread

24h volume

$6

Family rank

#9 of 10

10 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Aug 7, 2026

Family volume

$740

Orderbook snapshot

66 / 67¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
66¢333
65¢100
63¢91
59¢100
53¢43
AskSize
67¢576
69¢100
70¢125
72¢5
86¢340

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $6.5 on Aug 07, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 7, 2026

Identifier

KXB200WS-26AUG07-6.500

SF Signal
SF Index
1833.00
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

972.9%

IY (No)

3666.0%

Adj IY

1833%

CRI

2

Overround

7.2%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

972.9%
3666.0%
Adj IY
1833%
2
Overround
7.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.