SimpleFunctions

NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price above $7 at 4 PM ET on Jul 31

Above $7.00 is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 9 inside Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

38¢ current

+29¢
0¢25¢
Jun 24, 2026Jul 12, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $7 on Jul 31, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $7.00

Rank

#8 of 9

Leader

Above $3.00 98¢

Range

34¢-98¢

Family volume

$69

Identifier

KXB200WS-26JUL31-7.000

Jul 12, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

38¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

35¢

Ask

39¢

Spread

24h volume

$8

Family rank

#8 of 9

9 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Jul 31, 2026

Family volume

$69

Orderbook snapshot

35 / 39¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
35¢21
30¢25
24¢7
AskSize
39¢20
52¢1
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $7 on Jul 31, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 31, 2026

Identifier

KXB200WS-26JUL31-7.000

SF Signal
SF Index
1592.68
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3596.4%

IY (No)

1042.8%

Adj IY

1593%

CRI

2

Overround

3.8%

LAS

0.11

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

3596.4%
1042.8%
Adj IY
1593%
2
Overround
3.8%
LAS
0.11

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.