SimpleFunctions

NVIDIA H100 compute per hour price above $4 at 4 PM ET on Oct 02

Above $4.00 is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 12 inside Will the NVIDIA H100 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

7¢ current

+3¢
0¢5¢10¢
Aug 21, 2026Aug 24, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of NVIDIA H100 compute per hour is above $4 on Oct 02, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $4.00

Rank

#12 of 12

Leader

Above $1.00 97¢

Range

3¢-97¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXH100WS-26OCT02-4.000

Aug 24, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

7¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 24, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$10

Family rank

#12 of 12

12 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA H100 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Oct 2, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 8¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.3K
3¢100
AskSize
8¢100
10¢400
36¢60
42¢200
98¢54

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of NVIDIA H100 compute per hour is above $4 on Oct 02, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 2, 2026

Identifier

KXH100WS-26OCT02-4.000

SF Signal
SF Index
29662.86
Regime
taker

Browse this series

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXH series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

29662.9%

IY (No)

28.4%

Adj IY

29663%

CRI

32

RV

5353%

VR

2.02

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

29662.9%
28.4%
Adj IY
29663%
32
RV
5353%
VR
2.02
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
5.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.