SimpleFunctions

NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price above $3.5 at 4 PM ET on Aug 07

Above $3.50 is priced at 56¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 63¢ bid, 64¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 9 inside Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

56¢ current

+8¢
50¢60¢
Jun 29, 2026Jul 12, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $3.5 on Aug 07, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $3.50

Rank

#3 of 9

Leader

Above $2.50 88¢

Range

6¢-88¢

Family volume

$9

Identifier

KXH200WS-26AUG07-3.500

Jul 12, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 7h ago

Implied probability

56¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 7h ago

Bid

63¢

Ask

64¢

Spread

24h volume

$9

Family rank

#3 of 9

9 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Aug 7, 2026

Family volume

$9

Orderbook snapshot

63 / 64¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
63¢8
60¢25
56¢1
53¢99
29¢125
AskSize
64¢254
65¢25
94¢33
95¢51
98¢251

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $3.5 on Aug 07, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 7, 2026

Identifier

KXH200WS-26AUG07-3.500

SF Signal
SF Index
2141.32
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXH series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

875.3%

IY (No)

2141.3%

Adj IY

2141%

CRI

2

RV

152%

VR

0.48

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

875.3%
2141.3%
Adj IY
2141%
2
RV
152%
VR
0.48
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
2.8%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Blogtech

Prediction Markets Are Building a Yield Curve for AI Compute

B200 GPU rental markets now price AI compute as a tradable curve across Kalshi, Polymarket, Ornn, and cloud spot prices.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Volatility Arbitrage in Prediction Markets: Why Political Favorites Above 60¢ Are Systematically Underconfident

A binary contract at price p has variance p(1-p). Le 2026 (292M trades) finds political markets underconfident at slopes 0.93-1.83 — meaning a 70¢ contract corresponds to a true probability near 83%. Four systematic vol-arb trades follow from the calibration evidence.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.