SimpleFunctions

NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price above $6.5 at 4 PM ET on Aug 21

Above $6.50 is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 11 inside Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

6¢ current

15¢
0¢10¢20¢
Jul 19, 2026Jul 28, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $6.5 on Aug 21, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $6.50

Rank

#11 of 11

Leader

Above $2.50 98¢

Range

6¢-98¢

Family volume

$5K

Identifier

KXH200WS-26AUG21-6.500

Jul 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

6¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$797

Family rank

#11 of 11

11 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Aug 21, 2026

Family volume

$5K

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 7¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢18K
6¢702
4¢173
2¢157
AskSize
7¢359
8¢10
21¢400
24¢1
38¢96

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $6.5 on Aug 21, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 21, 2026

Identifier

KXH200WS-26AUG21-6.500

SF Signal
SF Index
23790.70
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXH series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

23790.7%

IY (No)

96.9%

Adj IY

23791%

CRI

16

RV

6942%

VR

4.75

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

23790.7%
96.9%
Adj IY
23791%
16
RV
6942%
VR
4.75
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
3.1%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Blogtech

Prediction Markets Are Building a Yield Curve for AI Compute

B200 GPU rental markets now price AI compute as a tradable curve across Kalshi, Polymarket, Ornn, and cloud spot prices.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Volatility Arbitrage in Prediction Markets: Why Political Favorites Above 60¢ Are Systematically Underconfident

A binary contract at price p has variance p(1-p). Le 2026 (292M trades) finds political markets underconfident at slopes 0.93-1.83 — meaning a 70¢ contract corresponds to a true probability near 83%. Four systematic vol-arb trades follow from the calibration evidence.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.