NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price above $0.15 at 4 PM ET on Sep 04
Above $0.15 is priced at 98¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 98¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $.
Price history
98¢ current
Contract brief
If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.15 on Sep 04, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $0.15
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Above $0.15 98¢
Range
1¢-98¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.150
Aug 9, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 1h ago
Implied probability
Bid
98¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$108
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $
Closes
Sep 4, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
98 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.15 on Sep 04, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 4, 2026
Identifier
KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.150
Event family
Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above $0.15 98¢
Current share
7%
Above $0.15
kalshi · KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.150
Above $0.20
kalshi · KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.200
Above $0.25
kalshi · KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.250
Above $0.30
kalshi · KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.300
Above $0.35
kalshi · KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.350
Above $0.40
kalshi · KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.400
Above $0.45
kalshi · KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.450
Above $0.50
kalshi · KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.500
Above $0.55
kalshi · KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.550
Above $0.60
kalshi · KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.600
Above $0.65
kalshi · KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.650
Above $0.70
kalshi · KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.700
Above $0.75
kalshi · KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.750
Above $0.80
kalshi · KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.800
Above $1.00
kalshi · KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-1.000
Above $1.25
kalshi · KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-1.250
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 98% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.