SimpleFunctions

NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price above $0.75 at 4 PM ET on Sep 04

Above $0.75 is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

4¢ current

+3¢
0¢5¢
Jul 24, 2026Aug 9, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.75 on Sep 04, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $0.75

Rank

#13 of 16

Leader

Above $0.15 98¢

Range

1¢-98¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.750

Aug 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

4¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$79

Family rank

#13 of 16

16 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Sep 4, 2026

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 4¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.3K
3¢101
2¢15
AskSize
4¢195
5¢1.0K
14¢10
23¢192
79¢9

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.75 on Sep 04, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 4, 2026

Identifier

KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.750

SF Signal
SF Index
14848.97
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

44544.7%

IY (No)

42.6%

Adj IY

14849%

CRI

32

Overround

3.5%

LAS

0.33

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

44544.7%
42.6%
Adj IY
14849%
32
Overround
3.5%
LAS
0.33

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.