SimpleFunctions

NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price above $0.4 at 4 PM ET on Sep 04

Above $0.40 is priced at 91¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 87¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

91¢ current

+14¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jul 24, 2026Aug 9, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.4 on Sep 04, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $0.40

Rank

#6 of 16

Leader

Above $0.20 98¢

Range

1¢-98¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.400

Aug 9, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

91¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 9, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

87¢

Ask

88¢

Spread

24h volume

$988

Family rank

#6 of 16

16 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Sep 4, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

87 / 88¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
87¢14
86¢750
76¢25
71¢25
4¢46
AskSize
88¢16
89¢166
90¢95
97¢54
98¢516

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.4 on Sep 04, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 4, 2026

Identifier

KXRTX5090WS-26SEP04-0.400

SF Signal
SF Index
9878.86
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

185.8%

IY (No)

9992.8%

Adj IY

9879%

CRI

7

RV

210%

VR

1.49

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

185.8%
9992.8%
Adj IY
9879%
7
RV
210%
VR
1.49
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
4.5%
LAS
0.01

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.