SimpleFunctions

The Odyssey · KXOSCARSCORE-27

The Odyssey is priced at 53¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 48¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside KXOSCARSCORE-27.

Price history

53¢ current

9¢
50¢60¢
Aug 5, 2026Aug 8, 2026

Contract brief

If The Odyssey has won Best Music (Original Score) at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

The Odyssey

Rank

#1 of 5

Leader

The Odyssey 48¢

Range

4¢-48¢

Family volume

$726

Identifier

KXOSCARSCORE-27-ODY

Aug 8, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 29m ago

Implied probability

53¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 8, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 29m ago

Bid

48¢

Ask

54¢

Spread

24h volume

$526

Family rank

#1 of 5

5 outcomes · KXOSCARSCORE-27

Closes

Dec 31, 2027

Family volume

$726

Orderbook snapshot

48 / 54¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
48¢200
33¢49
31¢250
30¢500
AskSize
54¢1
55¢200
83¢241
84¢317
96¢17

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If The Odyssey has won Best Music (Original Score) at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2027

Identifier

KXOSCARSCORE-27-ODY

SF Signal
SF Index
38.78
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXOSCARSCORE-27.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$726

Outcomes

5

Highest price

The Odyssey 48¢

Current share

72%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

77.6%

IY (No)

66.1%

Adj IY

39%

CRI

1

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

77.6%
66.1%
Adj IY
39%
1
Overround
-0.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.