Will The Odyssey win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars

30-day trend

Analysis

This represents the estimated chance that The Odyssey will win the Academy Award for Best Original Score at the next Oscars ceremony. The 27% probability suggests the film is a mid-tier contender but faces significant competition from other nominated films. The score's critical reception and industry momentum heading into awards season will be primary drivers—strong reviews and guild awards (like from the Golden Globes or BAFTAs) could increase this probability, while poor reception would lower it. The key catalyst occurs when the full slate of nominees is announced, typically in late January, which will clarify The Odyssey's competitive position relative to other contenders. Until then, the estimate reflects general anticipation based on the film's production profile and composer reputation rather than concrete performance data.

• ›The Odyssey's composer identity and their historical Academy track record in the Original Score category
• ›Critical and audience reception of The Odyssey's score relative to competing films in the same release window
• ›Guild award results from precursor ceremonies (Golden Globes, BAFTA, ASCAP Awards) that typically correlate with Oscar outcomes
• ›The relative strength and recognition of other scores competing in the 2027 Oscars Best Original Score race
• ›Official nomination announcement date (typically late January 2027) which converts current speculation into confirmed competition data

What moved the line

• Aug 28The Black Ball↑9pp3→12¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 29The Odyssey↑7pp40→47¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 30The Odyssey↓7pp47→40¢ · Kalshi
• Sep 1The Odyssey↑6pp42→48¢ · Kalshi
• Sep 3The Odyssey↓6pp47→41¢ · Kalshi

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds