SimpleFunctions

President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Aug 9, 2026 and Aug 15, 2026

Above 1 is priced at 38¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Will the President sign more than.

Price history

38¢ current

35¢40¢
Aug 8, 2026Aug 8, 2026

Contract brief

If the President signs above 1 executive orders during Aug 9, 2026 to Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 1

Rank

#2 of 3

Leader

Above 0 70¢

Range

8¢-70¢

Family volume

$7

Identifier

KXEOWEEK-26AUG15-1

Aug 8, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

38¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Aug 8, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

37¢

Ask

38¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#2 of 3

3 outcomes · Will the President sign more than

Closes

Aug 29, 2026

Family volume

$7

Orderbook snapshot

37 / 38¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢500
37¢1.1K
7¢109
6¢93
2¢45
AskSize
38¢1
43¢337
92¢153
93¢98
99¢501

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the President signs above 1 executive orders during Aug 9, 2026 to Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 29, 2026

Identifier

KXEOWEEK-26AUG15-1

SF Signal
SF Index
1496.48
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the President sign more than.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$7

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Above 0 70¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2993.0%

IY (No)

1032.3%

Adj IY

1496%

CRI

2

Overround

0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2993.0%
1032.3%
Adj IY
1496%
2
Overround
0.1%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinionessay

Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders

Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.