SimpleFunctions

President sign more than 2 Executive Orders between Jun 21, 2026 and Jun 27, 2026

Above 2 is priced at 52¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 52¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Will the President sign more than.

Price history

52¢ current

+31¢
25¢50¢75¢
Jun 20, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the President signs above 2 executive orders during Jun 21, 2026 to Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 2

Rank

#3 of 3

Leader

Above 0 99¢

Range

52¢-99¢

Family volume

$5K

Identifier

KXEOWEEK-26JUN27-2

Jun 25, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 29m ago

Implied probability

52¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 29m ago

Bid

52¢

Ask

54¢

Spread

24h volume

$5K

Family rank

#3 of 3

3 outcomes · Will the President sign more than

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Family volume

$5K

Orderbook snapshot

52 / 54¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
52¢6
51¢5
48¢100
47¢200
45¢300
AskSize
54¢5
55¢231
57¢200
89¢100
91¢14

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the President signs above 2 executive orders during Jun 21, 2026 to Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Identifier

KXEOWEEK-26JUN27-2

SF Signal
SF Index
2453.11
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the President sign more than.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$5K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Above 0 99¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2090.2%

IY (No)

2453.1%

Adj IY

2453%

CRI

1

RV

1482%

VR

3.40

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2090.2%
2453.1%
Adj IY
2453%
1
RV
1482%
VR
3.40
IAR
0.9/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.