SimpleFunctions

Real Me by Future have above 180000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 10, 2026 -July 16, 2026 tracking week

Above 180K is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 15 inside Will The Real Me by Future have above.

Price history

9¢ current

39¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jun 27, 2026Jul 12, 2026

Contract brief

If The Real Me by Future has above 180K Album Equivalent Units during the July 10, 2026 -July 16, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 180K

Rank

#9 of 15

Leader

Above 80K 99¢

Range

1¢-99¢

Family volume

$30K

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-ALB26JUL16-180K

Jul 12, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 55m ago

Implied probability

9¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 55m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$4K

Family rank

#9 of 15

15 outcomes · Will The Real Me by Future have above

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Family volume

$30K

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 9¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
7¢5
6¢114
5¢1.1K
4¢255
3¢330
AskSize
9¢100
12¢93
13¢184
14¢150
20¢54

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If The Real Me by Future has above 180K Album Equivalent Units during the July 10, 2026 -July 16, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-ALB26JUL16-180K

SF Signal
SF Index
55239.57
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMEQUIV series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

55239.6%

IY (No)

540.3%

Adj IY

55240%

CRI

10

RV

3369%

VR

1.27

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

55239.6%
540.3%
Adj IY
55240%
10
RV
3369%
VR
1.27
IAR
0.9/h
Overround
2.0%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.