Senate Majority PAC report more than $115M in cash on hand at the end of Q3
Above $115M is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 7 inside Will the Senate Majority PAC report more than $.
Price history
24¢ current
−48¢Contract brief
If the Senate Majority PAC's cash on hand is above $115 million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $115M
Rank
#5 of 7
Leader
Above $75M 86¢
Range
9¢-86¢
Family volume
$516
Identifier
KXFUNDRAISING-SMPQ326-A115000000
Jul 23, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
26¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$516
Family rank
#5 of 7
7 outcomes · Will the Senate Majority PAC report more than $
Closes
Oct 16, 2026
Family volume
$516
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 26¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Senate Majority PAC's cash on hand is above $115 million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 16, 2026
Identifier
KXFUNDRAISING-SMPQ326-A115000000
Event family
Will the Senate Majority PAC report more than $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$516
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above $75M 86¢
Current share
100%
Above $75M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-SMPQ326-A75000000
Above $85M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-SMPQ326-A85000000
Above $95M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-SMPQ326-A95000000
Above $105M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-SMPQ326-A105000000
Above $115M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-SMPQ326-A115000000
Above $125M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-SMPQ326-A125000000
Above $135M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-SMPQ326-A135000000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.